Race 10C

stu-nelson-connecticut

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ava Cornell 9.4% 10.8% 11.3% 11.3% 11.1% 8.8% 9.2% 6.1% 7.9% 6.0% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Hayden Clary 4.0% 4.7% 6.8% 6.0% 6.2% 5.8% 6.2% 8.3% 9.7% 10.3% 12.7% 10.3% 6.1% 2.9%
Audrey Foley 23.6% 20.5% 14.1% 11.0% 8.5% 8.3% 5.9% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine McGagh 5.9% 9.0% 6.4% 7.7% 9.2% 9.2% 8.8% 9.3% 9.1% 8.2% 8.7% 5.0% 3.1% 0.4%
Simone Ford 1.9% 1.8% 3.3% 3.0% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 9.7% 10.2% 15.6% 19.0% 10.5%
Grace Jones 10.2% 8.5% 10.4% 11.8% 10.6% 8.9% 9.7% 8.6% 6.4% 6.9% 4.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 3.9% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 5.1% 6.4% 5.4% 8.2% 9.6% 11.3% 11.3% 11.1% 9.4% 2.7%
Ariana Schwartz 4.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 9.1% 10.4% 10.1% 13.5% 9.2% 4.2%
Sidney Moyer 11.2% 12.8% 11.3% 9.5% 10.7% 11.7% 9.1% 7.9% 5.6% 4.8% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sophia Woodbury 7.4% 7.3% 8.2% 10.2% 9.0% 9.3% 10.4% 9.3% 8.5% 7.2% 7.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4%
Lola Kohl 10.3% 7.6% 10.5% 10.2% 9.1% 9.9% 9.0% 10.0% 7.8% 6.7% 3.9% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Meara Conley 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 5.2% 7.9% 8.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.8% 7.2% 9.2% 7.4% 5.8% 1.4%
Viola Henry 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 2.7% 3.6% 3.2% 4.6% 6.8% 10.2% 13.7% 25.4% 20.5%
Kate Feiner 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 3.7% 4.7% 9.2% 15.7% 56.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.