Race 1A

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Walter Chiles 20.9% 20.1% 17.0% 14.9% 10.9% 8.4% 4.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2%
James Knowlton 7.5% 4.9% 7.9% 10.0% 12.7% 14.5% 13.6% 16.3% 10.1% 2.5%
William Denker 16.5% 14.8% 15.4% 14.6% 16.1% 10.6% 6.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Jack Cady 22.7% 21.1% 19.2% 13.1% 11.0% 7.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Talia Trigg 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 7.0% 10.2% 15.7% 28.3% 17.7%
Joseph Cataldo 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 8.7% 13.0% 15.7% 16.1% 15.1% 7.6%
Rem Johannknecht 3.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.6% 7.5% 12.2% 17.1% 18.5% 17.5% 7.7%
Jake Lacoche 6.2% 7.7% 10.7% 11.1% 10.8% 12.2% 16.8% 13.8% 8.6% 2.1%
Ryan Begin 13.3% 16.8% 14.0% 16.4% 13.8% 12.1% 7.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.8% 4.7% 8.0% 15.4% 61.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.