Race 2A

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Cady 25.9% 18.8% 17.1% 14.0% 9.1% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
William Denker 15.5% 17.3% 15.3% 15.5% 12.8% 10.4% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Walter Chiles 19.6% 19.6% 17.6% 14.3% 12.7% 8.8% 4.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.0%
James Knowlton 5.5% 7.2% 9.2% 9.3% 12.8% 13.8% 15.3% 14.4% 9.3% 3.2%
Jake Lacoche 7.4% 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 12.3% 13.8% 16.5% 12.7% 8.3% 2.8%
Rem Johannknecht 5.1% 4.8% 5.4% 7.1% 7.4% 10.0% 14.9% 18.4% 17.3% 9.6%
Ryan Begin 13.0% 15.7% 15.5% 16.6% 14.2% 11.0% 7.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Talia Trigg 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 5.5% 5.9% 7.4% 12.1% 15.3% 27.2% 17.8%
Joseph Cataldo 4.6% 4.8% 6.4% 6.8% 10.0% 14.3% 13.2% 18.0% 16.1% 5.8%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 7.7% 17.3% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.