Race 3A

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Walter Chiles 21.0% 20.9% 18.5% 13.2% 9.5% 8.6% 4.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
William Denker 15.3% 17.6% 16.7% 15.3% 11.8% 11.0% 6.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.1%
Ryan Begin 15.3% 12.5% 14.8% 14.1% 16.5% 12.1% 8.3% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4%
Jack Cady 23.2% 20.2% 17.7% 16.1% 9.7% 6.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
James Knowlton 7.3% 7.8% 7.4% 10.1% 11.4% 14.7% 16.0% 12.6% 9.4% 3.3%
Jake Lacoche 7.1% 7.6% 9.6% 9.7% 12.6% 13.3% 15.4% 12.3% 9.0% 3.4%
Talia Trigg 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 5.3% 5.7% 7.7% 11.8% 18.0% 26.0% 18.5%
Rem Johannknecht 3.5% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 8.9% 11.5% 13.9% 20.1% 18.0% 7.3%
Joseph Cataldo 4.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.8% 10.9% 11.3% 14.9% 17.0% 15.3% 6.6%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.7% 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 7.8% 17.3% 60.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.