Race 4A

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Denker 18.5% 17.0% 16.3% 13.4% 12.0% 11.0% 7.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Alec Purrington 6.0% 4.4% 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 14.5% 16.6% 16.4% 12.6% 5.2%
Jack Cady 21.5% 21.6% 16.8% 16.6% 11.1% 6.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Walter Chiles 21.2% 20.1% 18.0% 14.3% 11.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Ryan Begin 14.5% 15.1% 15.3% 16.4% 14.7% 10.4% 7.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Joseph Cataldo 5.5% 6.2% 5.3% 7.4% 9.8% 12.8% 14.7% 16.4% 15.4% 6.5%
Jake Lacoche 5.5% 7.8% 8.6% 12.1% 13.1% 14.3% 16.1% 13.0% 7.0% 2.5%
Rem Johannknecht 3.5% 5.3% 6.7% 5.9% 9.6% 11.5% 13.0% 18.3% 18.2% 8.0%
Talia Trigg 2.8% 1.8% 4.4% 3.9% 6.7% 7.3% 12.5% 17.2% 26.0% 17.4%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 8.1% 16.5% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.