Race 5A

stuart-walker

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Denker 17.7% 17.1% 15.9% 15.7% 10.6% 10.7% 6.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Ryan Begin 14.2% 15.1% 16.4% 14.2% 14.3% 11.1% 8.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Jack Cady 22.0% 22.1% 16.8% 14.4% 13.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Walter Chiles 21.1% 19.8% 17.5% 15.1% 12.8% 5.4% 5.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Jake Lacoche 7.6% 7.9% 8.2% 11.6% 10.3% 15.5% 15.0% 13.2% 8.1% 2.6%
Joseph Cataldo 5.9% 4.8% 6.7% 6.5% 10.6% 12.9% 13.5% 17.7% 14.4% 7.0%
Alec Purrington 3.9% 5.6% 8.4% 9.7% 9.1% 13.0% 17.8% 15.3% 12.6% 4.6%
Talia Trigg 2.7% 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 6.3% 9.6% 11.2% 14.8% 27.7% 16.7%
Rem Johannknecht 3.9% 4.3% 5.1% 6.7% 10.1% 12.2% 13.5% 18.7% 17.5% 8.0%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 1.7% 2.9% 3.1% 4.8% 9.1% 15.4% 60.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.