Race 6A

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Walter Chiles 23.4% 18.9% 18.1% 12.9% 10.1% 8.8% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
William Denker 15.7% 17.6% 16.1% 16.2% 11.8% 11.4% 6.3% 2.8% 2.0% 0.1%
Jack Cady 23.1% 19.8% 16.2% 16.0% 12.7% 7.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Begin 13.7% 15.2% 17.3% 15.3% 14.0% 11.2% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Joseph Cataldo 5.0% 7.5% 5.8% 7.2% 9.4% 11.2% 16.1% 17.8% 14.4% 5.6%
Jake Lacoche 7.5% 7.4% 9.7% 9.1% 13.3% 14.3% 14.7% 12.6% 8.4% 3.0%
Talia Trigg 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 6.4% 8.4% 12.9% 17.3% 25.9% 17.4%
Alec Purrington 4.6% 6.3% 7.3% 10.3% 9.2% 12.4% 17.1% 15.5% 13.1% 4.2%
Rem Johannknecht 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 7.0% 10.1% 12.0% 12.2% 18.6% 18.2% 8.3%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 1.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.9% 8.3% 15.3% 60.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.