Race 1B

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ocean Smith 12.3% 16.4% 17.4% 15.1% 14.7% 13.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 36.1% 24.0% 18.7% 10.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penelope Weekes 13.1% 17.1% 16.1% 15.1% 14.4% 11.6% 9.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 9.4% 12.4% 12.1% 15.9% 15.5% 13.6% 10.5% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 3.6% 5.2% 6.3% 15.4% 18.9% 34.7% 7.6%
Ryan Petrush 12.1% 12.2% 13.9% 16.3% 14.3% 11.2% 10.5% 5.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Peterson 7.3% 6.5% 8.7% 10.7% 12.7% 16.9% 13.9% 12.0% 8.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Kate Adams 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 6.2% 7.9% 10.8% 16.0% 18.4% 16.9% 11.4% 1.5%
Aengus Onken 2.6% 4.3% 4.4% 4.0% 7.1% 7.2% 17.1% 19.6% 18.7% 12.1% 2.9%
Devon Valenta 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 3.4% 3.9% 6.4% 7.6% 14.2% 24.4% 28.0% 6.8%
Yunwen Xu 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 4.5% 9.3% 80.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.