Race 2B

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Felix Nusbaum 8.7% 11.7% 13.4% 15.7% 17.4% 13.5% 11.2% 4.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Ocean Smith 15.7% 14.8% 18.0% 17.4% 12.3% 9.4% 7.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Penelope Weekes 13.6% 14.6% 17.5% 17.6% 12.2% 12.5% 7.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Peterson 5.2% 6.9% 8.3% 7.2% 12.4% 15.6% 16.3% 14.8% 9.7% 3.3% 0.3%
Ryan Petrush 11.3% 14.0% 13.6% 14.9% 14.3% 12.8% 10.1% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 35.5% 25.9% 16.4% 10.8% 6.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 2.1% 3.3% 4.8% 9.3% 14.3% 18.5% 33.9% 6.8%
Kate Adams 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 7.1% 8.6% 13.1% 12.6% 16.6% 18.0% 11.1% 2.2%
Aengus Onken 3.5% 4.4% 3.2% 4.4% 7.7% 8.4% 13.7% 19.6% 19.5% 13.2% 2.4%
Yunwen Xu 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 3.6% 9.7% 81.3%
Devon Valenta 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 5.0% 6.0% 9.1% 14.6% 23.5% 26.6% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.