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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.81vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+8.70vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.27+8.58vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+5.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.22vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College4.15+1.62vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-0.79vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.70vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.00-0.82vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.73+3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin4.10-3.07vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.55-1.54vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-7.02vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.62-4.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.33-4.92vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-8.70vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.43-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.7Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.58Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.57Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.62SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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13.58Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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5.98Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.17Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Connor Needham | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Philip Alley | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Colin Smith | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 24.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Graham Landy | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Walker Banks | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.