Race 4B

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ocean Smith 15.8% 16.4% 18.7% 13.2% 13.6% 11.2% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 36.3% 23.1% 17.8% 12.6% 6.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Petrush 10.6% 13.0% 12.9% 15.4% 16.3% 16.7% 9.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Penelope Weekes 14.1% 18.8% 16.0% 16.4% 15.7% 9.7% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 11.3% 11.6% 13.8% 16.1% 15.9% 14.4% 9.9% 5.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kate Adams 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 7.5% 11.9% 16.4% 24.1% 20.2% 1.9% 0.0%
Ian Peterson 4.0% 7.8% 9.0% 10.9% 13.0% 16.8% 19.3% 14.3% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Aengus Onken 2.4% 3.8% 5.4% 5.2% 7.5% 11.2% 18.1% 22.6% 21.7% 2.1% 0.0%
Devon Valenta 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 4.4% 3.7% 5.4% 9.5% 21.4% 43.1% 8.2% 0.0%
Yunwen Xu 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 6.7% 86.8% 0.0%
Yunwen Xu 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 6.7% 86.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.