Race 5B

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ocean Smith 15.6% 16.8% 17.8% 14.7% 12.3% 11.6% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 35.9% 24.2% 17.1% 12.1% 6.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 10.7% 11.4% 12.5% 14.7% 16.3% 17.0% 11.2% 5.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Penelope Weekes 13.9% 19.1% 15.9% 16.4% 15.6% 9.8% 5.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Petrush 12.4% 11.8% 14.5% 16.7% 16.2% 13.4% 9.0% 4.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Devon Valenta 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 6.1% 10.5% 19.0% 41.5% 9.7% 0.0%
Ian Peterson 4.1% 8.2% 8.4% 11.0% 12.7% 16.3% 19.5% 13.7% 5.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Kate Adams 2.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.7% 8.4% 11.4% 17.0% 23.9% 19.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Aengus Onken 2.9% 2.4% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 11.6% 16.8% 24.2% 21.1% 2.4% 0.0%
Yunwen Xu 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 3.3% 8.8% 84.8% 0.0%
Yunwen Xu 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 3.3% 8.8% 84.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.