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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+6.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+3.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+6.30vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.62+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin4.10+0.82vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.51-1.87vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.43vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-0.04vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.27+0.39vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.73+1.64vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.55-3.05vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.00-6.03vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-6.86vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.43-1.56vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.33-5.83vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.57Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.96Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.64Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.14Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.44Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Colin Smith | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Philip Alley | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 24.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Walker Banks | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 34.5% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.