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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.78+0.87vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.39+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.36+1.83vs Predicted
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4McGill University-1.26+0.69vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.06vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.12-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Bates College0.780.5%1st Place
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3.29Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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4.83University of New Hampshire-1.360.1%1st Place
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4.69McGill University-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.65Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.94University of New Hampshire-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.72Bates College-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 50.4% | 25.3% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| John O'Connell | 15.2% | 21.5% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 19.2% |
| Brendan Chinn | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 16.8% |
| Greta Shuster | 10.7% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 6.5% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.