← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College-0.56+2.58vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire-0.80+1.91vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-1.26+1.69vs Predicted
-
4Bates College0.78-2.11vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.13vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University-0.39-2.64vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-2.12-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of New Hampshire-0.800.1%1st Place
-
4.69McGill University-1.260.1%1st Place
-
1.89Bates College0.780.5%1st Place
-
4.87University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
-
3.36Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
5.69Bates College-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Shuster | 14.2% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 9.7% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Brendan Chinn | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 22.2% | 17.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 47.1% | 28.1% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 24.2% | 19.8% |
| John O'Connell | 14.0% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 19.9% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.