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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+8.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+3.40vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.27+7.20vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65+4.62vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+2.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55+3.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-1.97vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47+1.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.80vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.25vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.00-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.33-2.11vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.76vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.98-6.77vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin4.10-8.14vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.73-3.57vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.43-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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11.2Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.62Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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6.03Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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7.75SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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13.43Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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14.21Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Graham Landy | 11.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Colin Smith | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 23.3% |
| Walker Banks | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.