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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.78+0.87vs Predicted
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2McGill University-1.26+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.80+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.85vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56-1.36vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.12-0.20vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.39-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Bates College0.780.5%1st Place
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4.67McGill University-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.95University of New Hampshire-0.800.1%1st Place
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4.85University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.64Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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5.8Bates College-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.22Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 49.9% | 25.6% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Chinn | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 17.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 8.6% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 6.3% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 18.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 11.1% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 50.1% |
| John O'Connell | 16.9% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.