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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.78+0.92vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.56+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.80+0.98vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39-0.68vs Predicted
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5Bates College-2.12+0.86vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.21vs Predicted
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7McGill University-1.26-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Bates College0.780.5%1st Place
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3.57Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.98University of New Hampshire-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.32Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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5.86Bates College-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.79University of New Hampshire-1.360.1%1st Place
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4.56McGill University-1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Lindelof | 48.6% | 26.3% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 11.4% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 9.1% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 8.0% |
| John O'Connell | 15.3% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 53.6% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 18.7% |
| Brendan Chinn | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 25.5% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.