Race 1A

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kerem Erkmen 15.3% 15.6% 14.0% 11.2% 9.6% 7.8% 7.3% 4.8% 4.8% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Robert Ulmer 6.3% 7.7% 8.0% 6.7% 7.7% 7.1% 8.0% 9.1% 8.3% 7.4% 5.2% 6.3% 5.7% 4.4% 2.1%
Leyton Borcherding 6.3% 6.1% 6.0% 7.7% 6.7% 7.4% 7.0% 8.0% 7.6% 7.0% 8.2% 8.8% 5.7% 4.9% 2.6%
Noah Robitshek 2.8% 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 5.7% 5.3% 6.2% 4.7% 5.8% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 9.5% 11.2% 12.6%
Mathieu Dale 6.1% 7.0% 8.6% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0% 8.6% 6.3% 4.8% 4.7% 3.0%
Thomas Sitzmann 20.0% 18.3% 14.6% 12.8% 9.7% 8.1% 5.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 7.4% 5.3% 4.8% 8.0% 5.6% 6.8% 7.8% 9.3% 8.4% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 6.8% 5.2% 3.5%
Skylor Sweet 3.3% 3.3% 2.8% 3.3% 4.4% 4.3% 4.8% 6.1% 5.7% 5.8% 7.9% 8.1% 12.0% 12.5% 15.7%
Sam Bonauto 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 6.9% 9.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.9% 7.8% 8.0% 6.6% 6.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7%
Christian Cushman 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 4.4% 4.5% 5.9% 6.1% 7.5% 11.0% 14.9% 26.5%
Adrian Winkelman 3.9% 3.8% 6.7% 5.0% 5.5% 7.2% 5.8% 6.4% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 7.9% 9.3% 8.5% 7.3%
Audrey Foley 3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 6.3% 4.8% 6.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 9.7% 8.3% 10.2% 8.9%
William Michels 9.5% 9.2% 8.6% 8.7% 10.6% 8.2% 9.0% 8.5% 7.9% 6.8% 4.6% 4.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0%
Shea Smith 3.7% 4.1% 3.7% 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 9.7% 8.1% 10.1% 8.6% 8.3%
Bradley Whiteway 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 6.3% 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 6.7% 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.2% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.