Race 3A

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Thomas Sitzmann 20.7% 20.8% 12.9% 11.3% 9.7% 7.5% 6.2% 3.3% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Robert Ulmer 6.2% 5.9% 8.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.9% 7.4% 6.9% 5.9% 5.3% 5.0% 1.7%
Leyton Borcherding 6.4% 4.8% 7.0% 8.0% 6.2% 7.7% 6.7% 9.0% 8.0% 6.9% 7.6% 8.6% 7.5% 2.9% 2.7%
Kerem Erkmen 14.9% 14.4% 14.0% 11.6% 9.3% 8.2% 7.6% 5.9% 4.9% 3.5% 2.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Mathieu Dale 6.7% 7.7% 6.7% 5.8% 7.2% 7.5% 8.6% 7.3% 7.9% 9.2% 6.5% 6.7% 4.7% 4.2% 3.3%
Skylor Sweet 2.3% 3.3% 3.3% 4.1% 4.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.2% 6.9% 9.6% 11.0% 13.2% 14.3%
William Michels 11.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 10.8% 9.4% 8.7% 7.5% 6.8% 5.2% 4.9% 2.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.5% 6.0% 6.6% 9.0% 7.3% 7.3% 7.8% 7.4% 8.7% 5.5% 5.3% 4.0%
Noah Robitshek 2.7% 3.1% 3.3% 4.4% 4.5% 5.7% 4.0% 7.8% 6.5% 7.1% 9.7% 8.1% 10.0% 11.5% 11.6%
Adrian Winkelman 4.2% 3.1% 4.9% 6.0% 5.6% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.3% 8.0% 8.7% 6.0%
Bradley Whiteway 3.2% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 5.3% 7.1% 8.1% 6.5% 6.2% 8.5% 8.7% 10.1% 8.9%
Christian Cushman 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 1.2% 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 7.4% 6.8% 10.5% 14.7% 28.4%
Shea Smith 3.3% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 6.7% 7.0% 5.3% 6.6% 9.7% 9.4% 10.7% 9.0% 9.2%
Sam Bonauto 6.8% 6.7% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.8% 8.3% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 6.1% 6.3% 3.7% 3.9% 1.7%
Audrey Foley 3.6% 5.0% 4.7% 5.0% 6.1% 5.4% 6.3% 5.2% 7.2% 8.9% 7.9% 8.0% 10.1% 9.0% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.