← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.59+8.99vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.29+5.59vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.53+0.86vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.26+3.82vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.45+2.25vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.00+2.79vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+1.90vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.72-1.65vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.59vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.38-2.45vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.90-1.84vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.27-0.55vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.90-3.63vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.69-4.18vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.23-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.99Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.59Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
3.86Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
-
7.82Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
7.25Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.79Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.35Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.55Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
9.16Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.45University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.37Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.82Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
4.7University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylor Sweet | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 20.3% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Shea Smith | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 28.6% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.1% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.