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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.89+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+4.12vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.95+0.74vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.06vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+1.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.43-0.77vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.41+1.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.20-3.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-4.43vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74University of Southern California1.4013.5%1st Place
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4.1University of Southern California1.8918.4%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.765.6%1st Place
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4.13California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.2%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.8%1st Place
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6.74University of California at San Diego0.956.1%1st Place
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7.06California State University Channel Islands0.825.8%1st Place
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9.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.5%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Irvine0.433.6%1st Place
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11.23Arizona State University-0.411.1%1st Place
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11.38University of California at San Diego-0.511.5%1st Place
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8.95University of Southern California0.203.7%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Davis0.074.0%1st Place
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5.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4513.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Davis Winsor | 18.4% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 16.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 12.4% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 31.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 34.9% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Garrett Henderson | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.