Race 10A

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mathieu Dale 6.6% 7.5% 7.7% 7.5% 6.7% 8.7% 7.4% 7.7% 8.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.2% 4.7% 3.3% 3.7%
Thomas Sitzmann 22.8% 18.0% 14.4% 12.0% 9.9% 6.3% 6.2% 4.0% 3.3% 1.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Satterberg 8.3% 10.1% 10.9% 9.7% 7.7% 8.9% 7.7% 8.9% 7.3% 6.6% 6.2% 3.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Sam Bonauto 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 7.7% 8.3% 8.3% 7.3% 8.3% 7.2% 7.6% 6.0% 6.5% 5.2% 2.9% 2.5%
Kerem Erkmen 15.1% 14.3% 11.1% 12.5% 11.5% 8.6% 7.4% 5.6% 3.6% 3.9% 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 5.3% 5.4% 6.6% 5.8% 7.7% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 10.5% 8.0% 7.4% 5.9% 5.6% 6.1% 2.9%
Noah Robitshek 3.6% 3.1% 4.4% 3.0% 4.5% 5.0% 6.3% 5.2% 6.4% 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 10.1% 10.5% 13.0%
Leyton Borcherding 5.4% 6.8% 7.6% 5.2% 7.2% 7.5% 8.0% 6.8% 7.9% 6.6% 8.8% 7.7% 6.1% 5.5% 2.9%
Skylor Sweet 2.7% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.2% 5.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.8% 7.6% 9.7% 9.5% 12.5% 14.0%
Adrian Winkelman 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 5.8% 6.2% 7.8% 6.4% 7.6% 6.4% 7.9% 7.4% 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 6.9%
Robert Ulmer 6.0% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 6.6% 7.7% 7.4% 7.3% 8.2% 7.1% 5.5% 7.2% 6.9% 4.1% 2.8%
Audrey Foley 3.7% 2.6% 3.8% 4.7% 6.8% 5.4% 5.4% 6.8% 7.4% 7.9% 7.4% 8.7% 9.9% 10.8% 8.7%
Shea Smith 3.7% 4.4% 3.3% 5.2% 4.6% 5.3% 6.1% 6.7% 5.2% 9.2% 9.9% 8.0% 9.0% 10.3% 9.1%
Christian Cushman 2.2% 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 2.4% 3.8% 4.7% 4.9% 5.3% 4.6% 6.2% 8.8% 11.1% 12.5% 26.3%
Bradley Whiteway 3.6% 5.6% 4.3% 5.7% 5.4% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.4% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 10.0% 10.6% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.