Race 1B

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Redmond 7.7% 9.3% 10.6% 9.1% 7.7% 9.1% 7.9% 8.9% 7.6% 6.2% 5.8% 4.4% 3.4% 2.3%
Sam Bruce 14.5% 12.0% 13.6% 10.1% 10.3% 8.7% 9.8% 6.8% 4.2% 3.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Chapman Petersen 13.7% 14.1% 13.2% 11.4% 8.9% 9.8% 8.1% 5.8% 5.8% 3.3% 3.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.6%
Martins Atilla 10.1% 12.0% 10.6% 11.3% 9.4% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 4.8% 3.6% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7%
Henry Scholz 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 6.1% 6.4% 5.6% 5.5% 5.6% 6.5% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 13.0% 12.9%
Henry Lee 6.5% 5.3% 5.3% 6.4% 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 8.1% 8.3% 7.6% 9.0% 7.4% 7.7% 5.3%
Jack Roman 8.0% 7.4% 6.7% 7.1% 7.9% 8.3% 8.5% 8.2% 7.1% 8.3% 7.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.5%
Oliver Hurwitz 11.2% 11.3% 8.6% 10.2% 8.7% 9.1% 8.6% 7.1% 4.8% 6.9% 5.0% 5.3% 2.2% 1.0%
Joshua Dillon 4.1% 3.4% 2.8% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 5.4% 6.7% 7.4% 8.1% 9.5% 11.1% 12.9% 15.9%
Benjamin Stevens 4.4% 4.0% 4.8% 4.2% 6.7% 7.7% 5.4% 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 10.0% 9.5% 10.7% 9.4%
Calvin Lamosse 3.2% 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% 4.3% 6.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.9% 9.0% 8.0% 10.4% 13.2% 17.8%
Oliver Keeves 4.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.0% 7.4% 6.2% 8.2% 6.3% 9.6% 8.2% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 8.7%
Nathan Selian 3.8% 3.5% 4.8% 4.1% 4.4% 3.8% 5.1% 6.8% 7.1% 8.0% 9.3% 11.3% 12.7% 15.3%
Luke Zylinski 5.1% 5.6% 6.5% 6.6% 6.0% 5.9% 6.1% 8.1% 9.8% 9.1% 8.1% 9.9% 7.0% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.