Race 2B

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Redmond 8.6% 8.7% 10.3% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 9.1% 7.1% 8.2% 6.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.2% 2.1%
Chapman Petersen 15.4% 13.9% 12.8% 10.9% 10.6% 9.0% 8.6% 6.4% 4.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Martins Atilla 11.5% 13.0% 10.6% 9.9% 9.1% 8.5% 8.1% 7.7% 6.5% 5.6% 4.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.6%
Joshua Dillon 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 5.2% 4.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 10.5% 13.3% 16.0%
Oliver Hurwitz 8.1% 11.3% 9.3% 12.0% 8.7% 9.1% 7.8% 6.9% 7.7% 6.7% 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 1.5%
Sam Bruce 13.3% 11.9% 13.0% 9.2% 9.6% 9.3% 8.7% 6.7% 5.7% 4.7% 3.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Benjamin Stevens 5.7% 5.6% 5.9% 5.6% 5.7% 6.6% 6.9% 7.2% 7.3% 9.3% 7.5% 8.8% 9.7% 8.2%
Luke Zylinski 6.1% 4.9% 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 5.9% 7.1% 8.1% 6.0% 9.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.6% 8.1%
Henry Scholz 4.6% 3.2% 3.4% 4.5% 5.3% 5.4% 5.3% 6.6% 9.0% 8.0% 10.7% 10.1% 12.0% 11.9%
Henry Lee 5.7% 5.9% 5.8% 5.3% 8.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 9.0% 7.2% 8.7% 8.7% 6.9% 5.0%
Oliver Keeves 5.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 5.8% 7.5% 6.6% 7.4% 8.4% 8.4% 9.2% 9.7% 7.5% 8.4%
Jack Roman 6.1% 6.8% 6.7% 8.5% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 10.0% 7.7% 8.4% 6.7% 6.0% 6.4% 4.6%
Nathan Selian 3.9% 4.1% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 4.1% 5.6% 6.6% 7.2% 9.1% 10.3% 9.5% 12.7% 14.7%
Ethan Burt 3.4% 2.6% 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 10.1% 11.6% 13.3% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.