Race 3B

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chapman Petersen 13.6% 15.1% 13.5% 11.3% 9.2% 8.7% 7.4% 6.0% 4.7% 3.4% 3.5% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Oliver Hurwitz 11.7% 10.9% 10.4% 10.0% 9.2% 9.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.1% 5.4% 3.7% 2.6% 2.1% 0.9%
Jack Redmond 9.4% 8.7% 8.5% 8.0% 8.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.1% 6.6% 7.7% 7.7% 4.7% 3.3% 2.0%
Sam Bruce 12.1% 12.0% 14.3% 10.4% 9.6% 9.8% 7.6% 6.5% 6.3% 4.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Henry Lee 4.9% 5.4% 6.4% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 7.4% 6.8% 7.0% 9.3% 7.4% 9.6% 7.9% 4.4%
Henry Scholz 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 8.0% 7.0% 8.2% 7.8% 8.4% 11.6% 9.8% 14.0%
Jack Roman 7.6% 7.7% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 7.6% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 6.8% 5.2% 3.5%
Joshua Dillon 4.1% 4.0% 4.3% 4.1% 4.6% 5.3% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 8.2% 8.9% 10.5% 12.2% 16.0%
Luke Zylinski 5.5% 4.4% 5.5% 5.1% 6.5% 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 9.8% 9.1% 8.6% 9.4% 8.8% 6.2%
Nathan Selian 3.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.4% 8.3% 7.2% 8.9% 9.3% 15.2% 15.4%
Benjamin Stevens 4.4% 4.8% 3.6% 6.5% 6.1% 6.2% 5.8% 7.5% 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 10.7% 9.9% 9.3%
Ethan Burt 2.8% 2.6% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 4.5% 5.0% 6.4% 6.4% 7.8% 10.5% 10.3% 12.5% 20.3%
Martins Atilla 12.2% 12.4% 9.3% 11.0% 11.5% 7.9% 7.9% 8.1% 5.4% 4.8% 4.2% 2.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Oliver Keeves 4.4% 5.3% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 7.1% 6.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.5% 9.3% 8.4% 7.9% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.