Race 4B

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chapman Petersen 14.5% 15.1% 12.1% 12.6% 9.1% 7.3% 8.0% 6.0% 4.4% 3.8% 3.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Sam Bruce 14.9% 12.4% 12.5% 10.5% 10.6% 10.7% 7.5% 6.4% 5.0% 3.4% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.6%
Oliver Hurwitz 10.6% 11.1% 8.6% 10.9% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 6.3% 6.3% 4.7% 3.6% 2.4% 0.8%
Jack Redmond 6.5% 9.6% 10.3% 7.4% 9.2% 8.8% 10.0% 7.3% 5.8% 7.5% 6.9% 5.1% 3.9% 1.7%
Martins Atilla 9.6% 11.4% 10.9% 10.8% 11.0% 8.6% 6.9% 7.1% 7.7% 5.4% 5.5% 2.2% 2.1% 0.8%
Luke Zylinski 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 6.3% 5.3% 7.3% 7.4% 8.3% 7.7% 8.0% 8.6% 8.4% 9.5% 8.1%
Henry Lee 7.5% 6.5% 7.6% 4.9% 9.0% 7.4% 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.9% 5.5% 4.7%
Henry Scholz 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 5.4% 4.6% 5.3% 5.6% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 9.1% 10.3% 10.2% 14.2%
Jack Roman 6.9% 6.3% 6.0% 6.4% 7.5% 7.7% 9.2% 8.3% 9.7% 8.3% 7.4% 6.7% 6.3% 3.3%
Benjamin Stevens 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 5.9% 5.4% 6.7% 6.4% 7.0% 8.1% 8.0% 10.0% 8.3% 11.7% 9.1%
Nathan Selian 3.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.6% 5.1% 5.9% 5.6% 5.3% 6.6% 8.8% 8.3% 12.0% 11.8% 16.4%
Ethan Burt 3.3% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 5.6% 9.9% 9.2% 10.1% 13.2% 19.9%
Joshua Dillon 3.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 6.0% 6.6% 9.0% 7.2% 7.7% 12.0% 12.4% 14.5%
Oliver Keeves 4.7% 5.6% 6.4% 6.5% 5.5% 7.1% 6.7% 7.8% 8.7% 8.7% 9.5% 8.3% 8.8% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.