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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.91+5.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.76+1.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.55+1.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+1.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.25+0.63vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.50+1.71vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.01-0.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.80vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37-0.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.65-2.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.74-3.79vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.36-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.22-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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4.85Stanford University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.71Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.5Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Chapman Petersen | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.