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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College4.15+6.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.24vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.62+7.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.45vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+5.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.33+5.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.00+1.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47+2.41vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.65+0.72vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-1.45vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-2.66vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin4.10-5.29vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.73-1.01vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.43-0.70vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.42vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.27-5.61vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University4.51-11.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.07Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.0Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.72Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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12.99Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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14.3Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Murray | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Graham Landy | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Samuel Stokes | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Connor Needham | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Colin Smith | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.9% |
| Walker Banks | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 33.8% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Philip Alley | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.