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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+5.41vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+7.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.55+2.50vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+1.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.25vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.37+3.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.01+0.03vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.50+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.91-1.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.65-1.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.78vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.74-3.74vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.22-3.26vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.76-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.5Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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4.79Stanford University2.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 12.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.4% |
| Jack Roman | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% |
| Henry Lee | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 19.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.