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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+5.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+3.65vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.76+1.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.55+1.60vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.50+4.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.01+1.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.74+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.91-0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.22+0.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.74vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.65-2.44vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.82vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-3.73vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.36-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.88Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.27Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.29Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 12.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Martins Atilla | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% |
| Jack Roman | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Henry Lee | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 20.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.