Race 8B

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chapman Petersen 15.0% 14.6% 11.4% 10.6% 10.8% 8.7% 6.7% 6.9% 5.0% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Henry Scholz 4.0% 5.4% 4.3% 6.2% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.6% 6.5% 8.3% 9.7% 9.7% 11.4% 10.6%
Jack Redmond 9.4% 9.3% 8.0% 8.4% 8.1% 8.4% 7.2% 8.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.3% 4.4% 4.0% 1.8%
Oliver Hurwitz 9.6% 11.0% 10.5% 9.1% 9.3% 8.3% 9.8% 7.8% 6.5% 5.7% 5.6% 3.0% 2.9% 0.9%
Oliver Keeves 3.9% 4.5% 7.0% 5.6% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 6.9% 8.2% 7.7% 9.0% 9.2% 9.6% 7.9%
Sam Bruce 12.5% 12.3% 11.6% 10.9% 10.6% 9.6% 7.1% 7.7% 5.1% 4.4% 3.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Martins Atilla 13.2% 12.1% 11.6% 11.0% 8.4% 9.1% 8.9% 7.5% 5.9% 3.9% 3.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Luke Zylinski 5.8% 5.0% 6.9% 4.9% 7.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.0% 9.6% 8.1% 6.7% 8.5% 8.8% 8.2%
Henry Lee 6.5% 4.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.6% 7.7% 8.5% 9.1% 8.6% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 7.6% 4.8%
Jack Roman 6.4% 5.8% 6.7% 8.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 6.5% 9.1% 8.0% 8.1% 5.9% 3.4%
Nathan Selian 3.1% 3.5% 2.8% 4.7% 4.1% 6.1% 5.9% 5.4% 7.2% 6.6% 10.3% 11.0% 13.5% 15.8%
Joshua Dillon 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 4.9% 4.5% 6.4% 6.4% 7.9% 10.1% 7.0% 10.0% 11.4% 17.2%
Ethan Burt 3.2% 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% 3.6% 5.5% 5.4% 7.6% 8.0% 8.1% 10.4% 12.9% 20.2%
Benjamin Stevens 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 5.9% 6.0% 7.0% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 9.3% 11.2% 9.6% 7.8% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.