Race 9B

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Redmond 8.8% 9.3% 10.4% 8.3% 9.4% 8.0% 8.3% 10.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.5% 4.2% 2.6%
Martins Atilla 12.1% 11.4% 11.0% 12.6% 8.7% 9.0% 9.9% 7.6% 6.4% 5.2% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9%
Luke Zylinski 4.7% 4.8% 5.6% 8.0% 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 7.0% 9.6% 9.4% 10.6% 9.5% 7.6%
Henry Lee 5.1% 8.0% 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 7.7% 8.7% 6.9% 9.5% 8.6% 10.0% 7.8% 5.8%
Joshua Dillon 4.5% 3.8% 3.8% 5.6% 4.5% 5.5% 5.8% 7.8% 7.6% 9.3% 11.1% 14.0% 16.7%
Oliver Hurwitz 11.2% 10.8% 10.7% 11.2% 9.4% 10.2% 7.8% 8.5% 6.2% 5.8% 3.5% 3.6% 1.1%
Chapman Petersen 15.8% 13.5% 14.4% 10.7% 9.5% 8.3% 8.0% 6.3% 5.9% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 4.3% 6.2% 5.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.6% 8.1% 8.4% 7.9% 10.6% 10.2% 9.5% 11.1%
Sam Bruce 13.7% 13.3% 11.6% 9.9% 11.7% 10.0% 7.9% 6.6% 5.4% 4.4% 2.5% 2.0% 1.0%
Oliver Keeves 6.4% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.1% 8.7% 10.0% 10.8% 8.3%
Ethan Burt 3.6% 2.5% 4.1% 3.7% 5.0% 6.3% 5.1% 6.8% 8.8% 9.7% 10.8% 12.9% 20.7%
Nathan Selian 3.4% 3.8% 3.4% 4.0% 6.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.6% 8.0% 8.2% 12.1% 14.6% 19.2%
Jack Roman 6.4% 6.9% 8.1% 7.1% 6.2% 9.0% 8.0% 9.8% 8.9% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.