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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.22+8.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.55+3.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+2.84vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.65+4.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.29vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.76-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.91+0.32vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.01-0.75vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+0.55vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-3.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.84vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.50-2.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.74-4.87vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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5.3Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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4.99Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.55Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
| Martins Atilla | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Chapman Petersen | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Jack Roman | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.