Race 11B

33rd-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Martins Atilla 10.9% 13.5% 10.9% 11.2% 9.8% 7.9% 8.0% 6.9% 6.0% 4.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.8% 1.1%
Sam Bruce 15.1% 11.5% 13.4% 11.1% 8.0% 9.2% 10.3% 5.8% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.5%
Chapman Petersen 15.6% 12.9% 12.8% 10.1% 11.1% 8.4% 9.1% 5.3% 4.7% 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Oliver Hurwitz 9.6% 10.6% 9.9% 9.7% 10.0% 10.3% 7.2% 7.8% 7.3% 5.2% 5.1% 4.4% 1.8% 1.1%
Jack Redmond 6.8% 8.3% 8.5% 9.4% 9.1% 10.6% 5.8% 9.1% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4% 4.9% 3.2% 2.4%
Luke Zylinski 5.3% 5.0% 5.6% 5.2% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 8.4% 7.1% 7.6% 8.4% 9.4% 9.6% 7.5%
Joshua Dillon 3.8% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 4.7% 4.6% 5.4% 5.1% 8.0% 8.5% 9.7% 9.6% 12.5% 13.7%
Jack Roman 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 6.4% 8.3% 6.5% 7.4% 7.9% 9.5% 6.2% 8.7% 5.5% 6.7% 4.3%
Nathan Selian 3.9% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.1% 3.5% 5.7% 5.5% 8.2% 9.1% 8.2% 12.7% 14.0% 14.5%
Ethan Burt 3.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 4.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.1% 5.7% 8.3% 9.5% 8.9% 14.0% 21.5%
Oliver Keeves 4.9% 5.4% 4.3% 6.8% 5.6% 5.8% 9.5% 7.1% 7.3% 9.9% 8.1% 9.6% 7.0% 8.7%
Henry Lee 5.5% 6.0% 5.5% 7.1% 8.0% 7.8% 6.7% 9.8% 8.9% 7.9% 6.7% 7.8% 7.0% 5.3%
Benjamin Stevens 4.6% 5.4% 5.3% 5.4% 4.8% 6.4% 6.6% 9.1% 7.5% 9.2% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 7.9%
Henry Scholz 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 5.4% 6.1% 7.0% 7.5% 9.8% 11.7% 10.6% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.