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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+5.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+2.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.05vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37+4.34vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.55-0.46vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36+1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.22+1.52vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.76-4.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.74-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.91-3.46vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.65-3.68vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.01-6.97vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.66-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 12.6% |
| Martins Atilla | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 16.3% |
| Chapman Petersen | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Henry Lee | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Jack Roman | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.