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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.55+3.35vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+2.89vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.76+1.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.31vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.01+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.22+2.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+1.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.25-2.41vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.65-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-3.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.74-3.72vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-4.08vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.36-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.02Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Martins Atilla | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Chapman Petersen | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Jack Roman | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 18.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 16.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.