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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+9.68vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+7.95vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.43+11.45vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+6.04vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.56vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.62+2.84vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+0.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-0.83vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.00-1.47vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.27+0.39vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College4.15-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.33-2.12vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin4.10-6.43vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-9.03vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.51-9.73vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.73-3.49vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.47-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.95Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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14.45Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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8.21Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.53College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.97SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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13.51Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Liberty | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Walker Banks | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 34.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Colin Smith | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Stokes | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Philip Alley | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 23.3% |
| Connor Needham | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.