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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+3.72vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.16vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.20+4.75vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.82+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+0.23vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.89-5.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.07-1.53vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.95-5.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.43-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.51-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72University of Southern California1.4012.7%1st Place
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4.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.6%1st Place
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5.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4512.7%1st Place
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8.75University of Southern California0.203.9%1st Place
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7.19California State University Channel Islands0.824.5%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.6%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.765.7%1st Place
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11.11Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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3.99University of Southern California1.8918.4%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Davis0.074.9%1st Place
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9.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.6%1st Place
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6.76University of California at San Diego0.956.8%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Irvine0.433.9%1st Place
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11.58University of California at San Diego-0.511.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Henderson | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Ring | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 28.6% |
| Davis Winsor | 18.4% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 20.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.