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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+7.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+6.54vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+6.97vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.00+4.15vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.51vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+4.12vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College4.15+0.61vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.73vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-3.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.76vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.62-1.02vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.73+1.58vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.27-1.89vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.51-7.98vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-6.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.33-4.95vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.43-2.54vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.47-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.97Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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7.61SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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9.98Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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13.58Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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11.11Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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14.46Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Colin Smith | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Stokes | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Graham Landy | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 23.3% |
| Philip Alley | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Walker Banks | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 34.0% |
| Connor Needham | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.