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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.11vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.15vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.52+1.82vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.90-0.97vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College2.88-1.89vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University0.80-0.34vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.15Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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4.82Drexel University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.03Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.11Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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5.66Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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6.13Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 41.4% | 25.7% | 18.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 15.4% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 23.4% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Bergan | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 31.5% | 24.7% | 11.9% |
| Allison Tracy | 19.2% | 19.6% | 22.6% | 21.0% | 13.1% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 15.6% | 23.0% | 22.3% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 37.9% | 29.7% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 22.9% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.