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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.18+6.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+3.02vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+0.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+5.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+3.65vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+2.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99+0.02vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-3.74vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.13+2.29vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.65+0.64vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.54vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.81-8.42vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.54-5.87vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Georgetown University2.2011.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.5515.5%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy1.184.7%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University1.978.4%1st Place
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5.91Tulane University2.0212.2%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.8%1st Place
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10.65George Washington University0.933.6%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University1.222.5%1st Place
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7.04Brown University1.997.7%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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7.26Jacksonville University-1.387.4%1st Place
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14.29Rollins College-0.131.2%1st Place
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13.64Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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10.37Clemson University0.733.5%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont0.483.0%1st Place
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7.58College of Charleston1.816.5%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University0.542.6%1st Place
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12.59Northwestern University0.162.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Demand | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Emily Allen | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scott | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 30.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 21.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Grace Bray | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.