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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+8.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.00+6.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+7.80vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.33+6.85vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+5.02vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51+0.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin4.10-0.28vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.47vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-1.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-4.77vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.27-0.35vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.43+1.14vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.62-4.47vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.47-4.60vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.73-2.57vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-8.23vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.53SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.23Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.65Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.14Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.53Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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13.43Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Philip Alley | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Walker Banks | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 32.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Connor Needham | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 22.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.