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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.08+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+0.65vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.35+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.86vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.50-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.72-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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2.65University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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3.06Western Washington University0.350.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.32Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.59University of Washington0.720.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 11.4% |
| Owen Thomas | 27.4% | 25.5% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 19.6% | 19.3% | 21.8% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 4.9% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 49.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 25.5% | 28.6% |
| Oliver Nairn | 27.8% | 24.9% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.