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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.08+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+0.63vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.72-2.29vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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4.21Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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2.71University of Washington0.720.3%1st Place
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3.1Western Washington University0.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 13.0% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 10.8% |
| Owen Thomas | 28.8% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 28.5% | 24.9% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 50.2% |
| Oliver Nairn | 26.5% | 23.9% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 18.6% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.