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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.72+1.60vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.35+1.05vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.66-2.24vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.50-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Washington0.720.3%1st Place
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3.05Western Washington University0.350.2%1st Place
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3.45Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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2.76University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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4.25Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 27.7% | 25.0% | 21.7% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Turloff | 21.4% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 6.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 13.9% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 8.9% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 51.4% |
| Owen Thomas | 25.2% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 28.0% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.