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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.72+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+0.64vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+0.88vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.50-0.68vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Washington0.720.3%1st Place
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2.64University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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3.44Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.32Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.1Western Washington University0.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 27.2% | 24.6% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Owen Thomas | 28.4% | 23.9% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 14.4% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 8.8% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 21.9% | 49.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 28.6% |
| Alexander Turloff | 18.6% | 20.2% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.