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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+1.79vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.52+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.41+4.68vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+2.81vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.21+2.95vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-1.54+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.10-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.80-2.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.88-3.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.81-0.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.14vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-2.07-2.24vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-5.17vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.72-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.1913.9%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.2420.9%1st Place
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6.07Arizona State University-0.528.2%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Davis-1.415.1%1st Place
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7.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.945.7%1st Place
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8.95Arizona State University-1.214.0%1st Place
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9.22California State University Channel Islands-1.544.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at San Diego-1.105.2%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Irvine-0.808.9%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Irvine-0.888.3%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Irvine-1.812.8%1st Place
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9.86University of California at San Diego-1.682.7%1st Place
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10.76California State University Monterey Bay-2.072.8%1st Place
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8.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.484.2%1st Place
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9.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.723.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Meyers | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 20.9% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Juliette Cramer | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| William Bailly | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Brent Lin | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Laurence Mach | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% |
| Grace Richie | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
| Daniel Haberland | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 23.8% |
| Colin Thompson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Tran | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.