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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+1.12vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.01-1.28vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.15-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5University of Washington1.320.6%1st Place
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3.12University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.78Western Washington University-0.130.2%1st Place
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3.72University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.87Oregon State University-1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 64.5% | 23.9% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.8% | 22.3% | 28.1% | 25.7% | 14.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 15.1% | 29.9% | 25.8% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.6% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 27.2% | 34.0% |
| Marty Weigel | 6.0% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.