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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+0.56vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46-1.69vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.15-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56University of Washington1.320.6%1st Place
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2.91Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.0Oregon State University-1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 62.1% | 24.0% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 13.3% | 26.3% | 26.9% | 22.7% | 10.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 10.7% | 19.4% | 24.6% | 28.2% | 17.1% |
| Emily Avey | 8.5% | 20.1% | 25.5% | 23.9% | 22.0% |
| Marty Weigel | 5.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 22.2% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.