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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.10+1.04vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.58-0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.77+0.81vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.93+0.05vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.09-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Washington1.100.3%1st Place
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1.61Western Washington University1.580.6%1st Place
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3.81University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.05Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Juan | 30.9% | 43.5% | 18.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Leif Hauge | 55.1% | 32.0% | 10.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 5.9% | 7.8% | 27.8% | 25.8% | 23.5% | 9.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 4.0% | 7.4% | 20.6% | 27.6% | 28.7% | 11.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.9% | 7.1% | 18.2% | 27.0% | 26.7% | 18.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.