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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.03+2.58vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.03vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13-0.61vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.70-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.25-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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4.13Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 14.6% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| James Kopack | 22.7% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 8.8% |
| Brook Wood | 15.2% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 17.4% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 12.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 32.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 20.0% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.